My #5 driver is facing elimination and is the defending champion of this race, #9 Chase Elliott. Chase sits two places behind 8th place #22 Joey Logano and 22 points back. He needs a win or a lot of points to be in the Top 8 to make the Playoffs. This will all be on the minds of Chase and the other drivers sitting outside the Top 8. Chase has seven starts, the win last year and three Top 5’s 43%.  

My #4 driver is the most recent winner here in the sunflower state, #2 Brad Keselowski. The good news is that it was his second win here in 19 starts, the bad news is that he has just four Top 5’s here, 21%. He is 8th hottest over the last six weeks and is #6 ranked on track like this.    

The #3 driver to watch is a former winner here, #18 Kyle Busch. Kyle has 23 starts one win and six Top 5’s 26%. Those stats are not so good but those six Top 5’s came in the last nine races. Eight of his last nine races were Top 10’s with a win-he’s just getting better here.  He is #2 rated for me on tracks like this. His one win came in the early race in 2016.

My #2 driver to watch is a three time winner here, #4 Kevin Harvick. Kevin is the #1 hottest driver over the last six weeks, even with a few runs of bad fortune. Kevin has 27 starts, three wins, and eight Top 5’s. Seven of those Top 5’s came in the last 12 stops here and all his wins – one reason he has the #1 average finish. He is also rated #5 for me on tracks like this.

My #1 driver is the #1 rated driver on tracks like this, #19 Martin Truex Jr. Martin has 22 starts, two wins and eight Top 5’s. Beside being rated #1 on tracks like this, he is  #2 hottest over the last six races. Four of his last five races here were Top 5 finishes.

Monday look for our preview of the First Data 500 from Martinsville Speedway.