TOP FIVE DRIVERS TO WATCH

GANDER OUTDOORS 400

My #5 driver is the hottest driver right now, #2 Brad Keselowski. Brad comes into the First State with 17 starts, one win and five Top 5’s. Brad’s win came here in the spring race last of 2015. He is rated #6 for me on tracks like this. Brad looked great at Charlotte last week until he didn’t, don’t look for that to happen here.

My #4 driver is the most recent winner here, #4 Kevin Harvick. Kevin also has horrible stats here. He has 35 starts, two wins- one in June and the other in this race in 2015 and just six Top 5’s. He is #2 rated at tracks like this and he is #6 hottest over the last six weeks.  

My #3 driver is has the highest average finish here, #42 Kyle Larson. Kyle has nine starts at the Monster Mile, no wins and four Top 5’s (44%). Seven of his starts were Top 10’s one of the reasons he is #1 in average finish here. At 10th place in points he needs three big finishes or a win in the next three races to stay in the Playoffs.

The #2 pick doesn’t have many starts here, #9 Chase Elliott. Chase comes into the Monster Mile with just five starts, no wins and four Top 5’s – 80%! Chase is #5 hottest over the last six weeks and just like Kyle Larson, if he wants to remain in the playoffs he needs to turn up the heat. Since his team Hendrick Motorsports have won 45% of the races here in the last 10 years and their motor shop has won 55% there is nowhere better than here.

The #1 pick almost got a huge win Sunday in Charlotte, #78 Martin Truex Jr. Here at the Monster Mile Martin seems to have finally figured out the code to beat the Monster. He was Top 5 in his last four straight starts here including a win in this race in 2016. He got that win in 25 starts with just five Top 5’s. He is #1 rated for me on the intermediate tracks and is #5 hottest over the last six weeks.    

Monday look for our preview of the 1000LightBulbs.com 500 from Talladega.

 

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